Game odds
Postseason odds.
Postseason odds.
Every game, every series.
Win chances built from how many runs each club scores and allows, who's on the mound, and home field. Proj. means the team hasn't named a starter yet, so we slotted in the best rested arm from its rotation. Odds update each morning as starters get announced.
Game model v1 · receipts
Does it beat the easy guess?
The model called all 2,430 regular-season games of 2026 using only what was known before first pitch. Its settings were picked on 2024–25 and locked before the test. From here on, each day's calls lock in the morning and get graded here once the game goes final.
Model output, not betting advice. Even the best game models pick the winner less than 60% of the time. Baseball is like that.